Model Rules Overview
High Quality
- Concentrated portfolio of about 30 stocks, equal-weighted, and rebalanced every 12-15 months.
- Universe: Wilshire 5000 (about 3,500 companies), U.S.-listed equities.
- Initial filter based on data quality, and attributes such as size (>$2 billion), growth, profitability, and financial discipline.
- Intermediate result is a smaller universe of about 500-1,500 companies to pick from.
- Additional overlay of proprietary fundamental criteria with demanding long-term performance hurdles.
- Final blend of screens that include near-term performance criteria, reasonable valuation requirements, and performance
ranking to arrive at a set of about 30 picks.
Reinforced Value
- Long-only quarterly rebalanced portfolio of about 30 stocks, equal-weighted
- Universe: Wilshire 5000 (about 3,500 companies), US-listed equities
- Initial filter based on data quality, and attributes such as size (>$500 million), growth, profitability, and financial discipline. Intermediate result is a smaller universe of about 500-1,500 companies to pick from
- Additional overlay of proprietary fundamental criteria with demanding long-term performance hurdles
- Final blend of screens that include near-term risk-metrics along with relative performance measures
Bayesian
- Quality & Value Fundamentals Portfolio
- Systematic selection of a core portfolio of stocks based on growth, profitability and financial discipline.
- The core portfolio is long-only, predominantly US equity and rotated annually. The core portfolio has a track record of beating the S&P 500 over
multi-year periods.
- Bayesian Trading Edge
- Proprietary quantitative overlay that enhances the baseline returns of the core portfolio via opportunistic trading (long-only) of
concentrated (10 stock) monthly portfolios. - Trade selections made exclusively from among constituents of the core portfolio
- Proprietary quantitative overlay that enhances the baseline returns of the core portfolio via opportunistic trading (long-only) of
Sustainable Equity (ESG)
- Screen universe (S&P 500) for ESG progressive companies
- Exclusionary screens to eliminate bad actors
- Inclusionary screens to find the best of those remaining
- Screen universe for 36 Alpha generating factors
- Roughly half the factors are fundamental and half risk-based
- Optimize using a Higher Moment Risk Optimizer
Equity Income
- Screen universe (S&P 500) for stocks with higher yields than the index
- Screen universe for stocks with consecutive years of dividend increases
- Screen universe for higher quality companies than the index
- ROE
- Free Cash Flow to Dividend Yield Ratio
- Accrual Ratio
- Debt to Equity Ratio
All Cap Equity
- Screen universe (all US traded stocks) for aggressive legal insider buying
- Screen universe for positive earnings estimates revisions and EPS surprises
- Screen universe for momentum and fundamental value
- 12-month price appreciation
- 6-month price appreciation
- return on assets
- price to cash flow
Asset Allocation
- Adjust Asset Allocation template to consider non-normal risks
- Serial correlation
- Fat tails
- Correlation breakdown
- ETFs must possess the following characteristics:
- A Rules-Based methodology
- Asset class and asset category purity
- Sufficient testing
- Reliable sponsorship and liquidity
- Ability to address one of the 20+ timely Asset Allocation risk factors identified by EAM
- Existing product competition
- Competitive short-term Alpha vs competition within category
- Competitive expense ratio
- Favorable taxation characteristics
Sector Rotation
- Screen (S&P 500) for positive or negative momentum
- Screen sectors for positive or negative momentum